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Dashboard/Active Signals

Active signals

For Jan-Mar 2026 · confidence band emerging · 5 signals triggered · 0 added to report

Human Review Open Report Builder
  1. 1. Signal detected
  2. 2. Why triggered
  3. 3. Evidence
  4. 4. AI briefing
  5. 5. Human review
  6. 6. Add to report → Export

How to read this page

Each card below is one signal — a structural pattern that the engine detected in this quarter's ONS LFS NEET data using a fixed if-then rule. Cards are not opinions or AI guesses: they only appear when a measurable threshold is crossed. They are the building blocks of the quarterly intelligence briefing.

5 cards · 1 per triggered rule
Header
Signal name + severity

Tells you what shifted (e.g. participation pressure) and how serious it is (info / watch / elevated / critical).

Why it triggered
The rule that fired

The exact threshold condition that flipped from false to true this quarter. Fully auditable — no black box.

Key evidence
The numbers behind it

Up to 4 metric tiles from the underlying dataset — the actual values the rule evaluated. Click the card to see the full evidence trail.

Actions
What you do next

View signal detail for charts & briefing, or Add to report to include it in this quarter's export.

The connection: all cards share the same quarter (Jan-Mar 2026) and the same source dataset. Together they describe the state of the youth participation system right now. You triage them here, then the ones you add to the report become the sections of the published briefing.

Participation Pressure

status · elevatedconfidence · emerging
Not in report
Why it triggered

Headline NEET rate is 13.5% (1.01 million people). Quarter-on-quarter change +55k people.

Key evidence
  • NEET rate13.5%
  • Total NEET1.01 million people
  • QoQ+55k people
  • YoY+9.7%

7 evidence rows · source-backed

What this means

Confirm direction with next release.

Inactivity-Driven Participation Pressure

status · elevatedconfidence · emerging
Not in report
Why it triggered

Economically inactive NEETs are 60.5% of the total — re-engagement is the bigger constraint than vacancy supply.

Key evidence
  • Inactive613k people
  • Unemployed400k people
  • Inactive share60.5%

7 evidence rows · source-backed

What this means

Likely not primarily a vacancy problem.

First-Rung Access Risk

status · elevatedconfidence · emerging
Not in report
Why it triggered

18–24 NEET rate (15.8%) is far above 16–17 rate (5.1%). Transition into adult labour market is the squeeze point.

Key evidence
  • 16–17 rate5.1%
  • 18–24 rate15.8%
  • Gap10.7 pp

7 evidence rows · source-backed

What this means

Pressure concentrated at school-to-work transition.

Hidden NEET Visibility Gap

status · elevatedconfidence · emerging
Not in report
Why it triggered

1.01 million people are NEET — only a subset will appear on welfare or claimant records.

Key evidence
  • NEET total1.01 million people
  • NEET rate13.5%

7 evidence rows · source-backed

What this means

Welfare data alone will under-count the population needing support.

Long-Term Detachment Risk

status · elevatedconfidence · emerging
Not in report
Why it triggered

Persistent rise (2 consecutive quarters) with inactivity share 60.5% — risk of cohort drifting beyond re-engagement window.

Key evidence
  • Consecutive rises2
  • Inactive share60.5%

7 evidence rows · source-backed

What this means

Earlier re-engagement contact reduces drift into long-term detachment.